Dr H.A. Hellyer

Arcs of power, waves of disorder: making sense of the wider Arab world from within the region, to capitals far beyond it.

Professor H.A. Hellyer is a British scholar of geopolitics, security and geoeconomics. For more than twenty years he has advised governments, boardrooms and broadcasters on the wider Arab world, Europe and Southeast Asia: how each shapes the others, and what is likely to come next.

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Portrait of Dr H.A. Hellyer, bearded, in a tweed jacket and tie

…an academic’s rigour, a pollster’s precision, and a journalist’s compelling anecdotes…

Lyse DoucetChief International Correspondent, BBC

Latest writing and interviews

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Dr Hellyer told NPR's Morning Edition how Arab Gulf states view the Trump administration's Iran war plan. NPR · · InterviewHow Arab Gulf states view Trump's Iran war planRead on this site In September, fighting broke out in Ethiopia’s Tigray region between Ethiopian government forces and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), effectively collapsing the 2022 peace deal. War on the Rocks · · AnalysisFighting in Ethiopia and the Risk of Regional SpilloverRead on this site Welcome to the first edition of this newsletter on Substack. Arcs & Dis-Order · · NewsletterIssue 1Read on this site Showing up at a funeral matters everywhere, but especially in the Arab world and the wider Middle East. TIME · · Op-edHow the Iran War Forced the Gulf to Rethink Its SecurityRead on this site Mark Twain never actually said that reports of his death were greatly exaggerated—but the line fits the international legal order almost too well. Islamica · · Op-edThis Is the System: What Gaza Taught the WorldRead on this site Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz and efforts to extract payments for safe passage — plus, more recently, the Houthis’ move to attack Saudi shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait — have highlighted the risks of maritime chokepoints to global shipping and raised questions about the future for freedom of navigation. War on the Rocks · · AnalysisBeyond Hormuz: The Future of Maritime ChokepointsRead on this site

Writing published in

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  • The New York Times
  • The Washington Post
  • Financial Times
  • The Guardian
  • TIME
  • Foreign Policy
  • Politico
  • CNN
  • Foreign Affairs
  • War on the Rocks
  • Prospect Magazine
  • Al-Monitor
  • New Lines
  • Open Democracy
  • The National
  • Al Jazeera
  • Mada Masr
  • New Straits Times
  • Al Arabiya English
  • Middle East Eye
  • Daily News Egypt
  • The Globe and Mail

The archive holds 1,271 records of writing, interviews and media appearances. Search the archive.

On air for

  • CNN
  • BBC
  • Al Jazeera
  • France 24
  • Deutsche Welle
  • Sky News
  • CNBC
  • CNA
  • TRT World
  • ITV News

…a pre-eminent scholar and analyst deeply embedded in the region…

Marwan MuasherVice President for Studies, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; former foreign minister and deputy prime minister of Jordan

Arcs & Dis-Order

Where Dr Hellyer interprets the geopolitics and geoeconomics of the wider Arab world and Middle East region.

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…hard to imagine a better qualified analyst of recent Egyptian history…

David D. KirkpatrickStaff writer, The New Yorker; Cairo bureau chief of The New York Times, 2011–2015

I’ve always trusted his analysis, non-partisan as it’s always been.

Murtaza HussainReporter, Drop Site News; formerly The Intercept, where his review appeared

His writings have long made clear his consistent and balanced insight…

Hassan HassanFounder and editor-in-chief, New Lines Magazine; co-author of ISIS: Inside the Army of Terror